Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.149744 0.165954 0.182544 0.200751 0.220131 0.240102 0.262200
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.127805 0.150165 0.173901 0.200835 0.230418 0.261789 0.297443
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112147 0.138806 0.168023 0.202130 0.240567 0.282273 0.330675
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.098299 0.127867 0.161259 0.201261 0.247386 0.298441 0.358757
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.089642 0.121930 0.159374 0.205240 0.259157 0.319825 0.392545
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.080690 0.114754 0.155300 0.206040 0.266780 0.336172 0.420455
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072718 0.108037 0.151153 0.206210 0.273238 0.350885 0.446320
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065145 0.101159 0.146244 0.204959 0.277603 0.362864 0.468822
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059700 0.096577 0.143814 0.206425 0.284994 0.378262 0.495276
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056686 0.094974 0.144981 0.212240 0.297629 0.399927 0.529250
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052022 0.090720 0.142381 0.213000 0.303797 0.413661 0.553687
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048843 0.088300 0.142009 0.216474 0.313268 0.431382 0.582966
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044985 0.084744 0.140068 0.217985 0.320485 0.446716 0.609921
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040883 0.080499 0.136921 0.217691 0.325254 0.458957 0.633117
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037609 0.077250 0.134959 0.218827 0.331770 0.473347 0.658999
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033993 0.073156 0.131543 0.217772 0.335271 0.483853 0.680042
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032132 0.071748 0.131917 0.221880 0.345564 0.502999 0.711951
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029552 0.068919 0.130018 0.222672 0.351348 0.516351 0.736610
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027032 0.065971 0.127766 0.222821 0.356170 0.528419 0.759656
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024386 0.062553 0.124594 0.221486 0.358854 0.537647 0.779073
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022594 0.060524 0.123463 0.223018 0.365408 0.551901 0.804935
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.021892 0.060483 0.125453 0.229133 0.378323 0.574561 0.841686
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020171 0.058320 0.123914 0.229928 0.383793 0.587410 0.865853